Notre Dame Penciled Into College Football Playoff With Four Games Left; Irish #3 in NCAA’s CFP Poll Based on Strength of Schedule

U.S. Map, adapted from image at usda.gov

Reality imitates overhype in the NCAA’s inaugural College Football Playoff (CFP) rankings of 2017, with Notre Dame penciled into the playoff at the #3 spot. Georgia, source of Notre Dame’s sole loss, is at #1, in part because of their 1-point win over Notre Dame. The committee chairman reportedly credited Georgia and Notre Dame’s strength of schedule as factors in the rankings, namely with regard to the number of their respective opponents ranked in the CFP poll.

Half of Notre Dame’s schedule is ranked in the initial (Oct. 31) CFP poll of the season. The Irish are 3-1 against CFP-ranked opponents played thus far, Georgia, USC, NC State and Michigan State. They have yet to play Miami (Fla.) and Stanford.

Notre Dame opponents in blue boldface or, in event of a Notre Dame loss, red boldface; Notre Dame in green boldface.

College Football Playoff Rankings – 10.31.17

1 – Georgia 8-0
2 – Alabama 8-0
3 – Notre Dame 7-1
4 – Clemson 7-1
5 – Oklahoma 7-1
6 – Ohio State 7-1
7 – Penn State 7-1
8 – TCU 7-1
9 – Wisconsin 8-0
10 – Miami 7-0
11 – Oklahoma State 7-1
12 – Washington 7-1
13 – Virginia Tech 7-1
14 – Auburn 6-2
15 – Iowa State 6-2
16 – Mississippi State 6-2
17 – USC 7-2
18 – UCF 7-0
19 – LSU 6-2
20 – NC State 6-2
21 – Stanford 6-2
22 – Arizona 6-2
23 – Memphis 7-1
24 – Michigan State 6-2
25 – Washington State 7-2

Despite their overall strength of schedule, Notre Dame had an unexpectedly semi-padded first half of the season; yet they have continued winning amidst tough sledding in the home stretch. At 7-1, Notre Dame is one game better than basic bowl eligibility, with four games left against teams with winning programs — Wake Forest; #10 Miami (Fla.); sometimes-nemesis Navy; and #21 Stanford.

In 2017, fans have yet to see some of the recurring nightmares that have occurred during the Brian Kelly Era, such as The Flat Game, The Skid or The Flu Game.

Hopefully they got their flu shots, and, for their sake, hopefully Kelly might finally have learned how to dial up his planning and preparation to avoid the flatness and skids that sometimes doomed his program in the past.

Brian Kelly, despite post-season success at the small college level that included multiple national championships, has never won a major bowl game. He now has been in Div. I-A/FBS for well more than a decade, and is 0-3 in major bowls, getting embarrassed in one and blown out in the other two. He got a team in a fourth major bowl, where they got blown out in his absence, after he jumped ship for a bigger stage.

Notre Dame has not won a major bowl game in a quarter-century. That also means that Notre Dame has not won a major bowl game in the entire current, 85-scholarship era of major college football.

Time will tell whether Notre Dame will have the chance to bring home a major bowl win this year, or whether that effort will take place within a playoff run.

Ironically, one of the playoff locations this year is the Rose Bowl, where Notre Dame won their first consensus national championship with a victory over Stanford in 1925, featuring Knute Rockne, the Four Horsemen and the Seven Mules to cap off the 1924 season.

IRISH NEWSLINK Blue and Gold Illustrated: “Notre Dame Focuses On Playing Better, Not Bowl Talk”

File Photo of Word of Life Stone Mural Mosaic, Featuring Christ with Arms Upraised, On the Hesburgh Memorial Library at Notre Dame

“Today, Notre Dame is 4-6 — and yet there were inquiries during head coach Brian Kelly’s weekly press conference about whether the team would be receptive to going to a bowl game, even with a possible 5-7 record. … ‘I haven’t given it much thought, to be honest with you,’ replied Kelly when asked if the school would play in a bowl with a 5-7 mark. “I think those scenarios I would address at the end of the year.’ …”

IRISH NEWSLINK Chicago Tribune: “Five things #NotreDame must do in second half to qualify for bowl game”

File Photo of Word of Life Stone Mural Mosaic, Featuring Christ with Arms Upraised, On the Hesburgh Memorial Library at Notre Dame

#NotreDame began the season with College #Football Playoff aspirations. Now the Irish just hope to qualify for any bowl game. Arguably the most disappointing team in the country, Notre Dame (2-5) needs to win four of its final five games to become bowl eligible.

 

IRISH NEWSWATCH: “Notre Dame’s bowl hopes in jeopardy after water-logged loss to Wolfpack” – Sporting News

Football on Turf Near Yard Marker

… Notre Dame (2-4) might not make the postseason. The Irish will likely be underdogs in their three remaining home games against Stanford, Miami (Fla.) and Virginia Tech. They have neutral site games against Navy and Army. The regular-season finale at USC could be a battle for bowl eligibility for both teams. We don’t see Notre Dame lowering itself to being a 5-7 bowl team if some spots need to be filled. …

Click here for Sporting News: “Notre Dame’s bowl hopes in jeopardy after water-logged loss to Wolfpack”

IRISH NEWSWATCH: “Why Notre Dame might not make a bowl this season” – Fox Sports

File Photo of Football on Turf with Yardlines

Notre Dame is now 2-4 on the season after a 10-3 loss to North Carolina State in the middle of a hurricane …. While the game itself was a sloppy mess and the contest probably shouldn’t have been played, the result will still stand. … Now, the Irish need to play to make a bowl game. … Notre Dame has six games remaining … they will have to win four of those contests. (They could get to a bowl game with a 5-7 record if there aren’t enough bowl-eligible teams, but that’s unlikely given the amount of parity in college football this year.)

Click here for Fox Sports: “Why Notre Dame might not make a bowl this season”

IRISH NEWSWATCH: “College Football: Council adjusts bowl selection process” – NCAA 6.29.16

File Photo of Football on Turf with Yardlines

Even if Notre Dame (2-4) does not end up crossing the 6-6 threshold, if the Irish can muster three more wins, they might be able to invoke their high graduation rate to go to a bowl game with a 5-7 record. (From NCAA.com, June 29, 2016:)

… all bowl-eligible teams with 6-6 records must be selected for a bowl game before any teams with a 5-7 record can be considered.

After all bowl-eligible teams are selected, the 5-7 teams – which will be considered alternates – will be deemed eligible in descending order from the highest multiyear Academic Progress Rate in the Football Bowl Subdivision for the most recent reporting year. Those teams will then select the bowl in which they will participate. … Last season, only 77 teams were eligible for the 80 bowl slots by the established criteria. The remaining three slots were filled by 5-7 teams. Those alternate teams (University of Nebraska, Lincoln; University of Minnesota, Twin Cities; and San Jose State University) were selected by the bowls in which they appeared. … The new process will be effective for the 2016-17 bowl season.

Click here for NCAA: “College football: Council adjusts bowl selection process”

[PDF] IRISH NEWSLINK: “2016-17 NCAA Postseason Bowl Handbook”

Football Next to Football Field

“Insufficient Number of Deserving Teams … if an insufficient number of institutions meet the definition of  a  “deserving  team”  to  participate  in  postseason bowl  games  in  a  particular  year,  an  institution  that  meets  a condition set forth below shall be eligible to be selected to participate in such a bowl game. …. 5. An  institution  that  finished  its  season  with  a  minimum  of  five  wins  and  a  maximum  of  seven  losses  but achieved  a  top-five  Academic  Progress  Rate  in  the  Football  Bowl  Subdivision  for  the  most  recent reporting year. ….”