"The guns of January; As war looms larger, what are Russia’s military options in Ukraine? The Kremlin’s aim would probably be to shatter Ukrainian military power and dictate terms" - SCW Newswatch: The Economist

The Economist addresses potential scenarios and risks that might emerge in the event of full-fledged Russian military aggression against Ukraine.

"... Even with [various] advantages, Russia would struggle to occupy [Kyiv], let alone ... Ukraine, ... as large and populous as Afghanistan. ... [O]ver 300,000 Ukrainians have gained ... military experience ... [M]ost have access to firearms. ... [T]he Pentagon and CIA [reportedly] would both support an armed insurgency. ... Russia probably wants to avoid a long occupation, [but one might be unnecessary] .... Russia may gamble that [Ukraine's] government will ... collapse[] and ... may use spies, special forces and disinformation to hasten that .... [But] Russia has not fought a large-scale offensive involving infantry, armour and air power since [World War II] .... [A] Russian International Affairs Council [commentator] warns of a 'long and sluggish confrontation' ... prolonged by Western military aid ... 'fraught with destabilisation of … Russia itself.' Even victory would be costly. 'The Ukrainians will fight and inflict major losses on the Russians,' [according to a retired U.S. general with experience dealing with Russia.]

The latter commentator further observes that a full-fledged attack on Ukraine would, in fact, be difficult for Russia, and that Russia would be all alone in the endeavor.

Click here for: "The guns of January; As war looms larger, what are Russia’s military options in Ukraine? The Kremlin’s aim would probably be to shatter Ukrainian military power and dictate terms" - The Economist


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