SCW Russia Report #2022-1, Tuesday 3.8.22

Topics: Ukraine|Energy|Economic|U.S./Europe|China|Nuclear|Cyber|Media|Politics
(Vol. I, No. 1, Issue 2022-1 - last update 3.8.22 17:50 CT)

Ukraine & Russia, Russo-Ukrainian War, Russian Military

Russia’s Rocket Barrages Reveal Bad Planning, Cruelty — and the Absence of Crucial Skills; “Everybody is surprised by the lack of combined arms capability in the Russian army,” said one general-turned-analyst. - Defense One 3.8.22

Ukraine Had One of the World's Biggest Nuclear Arsenals and Gave It Up Voluntarily in Exchange for the Promise that Their Territory Would Not Be Violated; Russia Signed the Treaty - SCW 3.1.22

Navalny Urges Russians To Continue Anti-War Protests That 'Unnerve' Kremlin - RFE/RL 3.8.22

Poland Ready To Hand Over All MiG-29 Warplanes To U.S. In Germany - RFE/RL 3.8.22

Russian Ministries, Agencies Hacked In Apparent Anti-War Protest - RFE/RL 3.8.22

Russian Shelling Halts Ukrainian Evacuation Effort; Heavy fighting continues across Ukraine; The number of people forced to escape Ukraine passed two million, as officials managed to evacuate a convoy of civilians from a besieged northeastern city. Renewed Russian shelling forced the effort to be halted. The city of Mariupol faces a humanitarian crisis, while heavy fighting continued across the country. - WSJ 3.8.22

Zelensky vows to fight Russia in 'forests, fields and shores' - Ukraine's president addresses the House of Commons as the UK and US announce bans on Russian oil imports.' - BBC 3.8.22

Intel chief: Putin likely to 'escalate' in Ukraine, thinks 'he cannot afford to lose' - NY Post 3.8.22

Russia Facing Military Shortcomings in Ukraine Invasion, Says U.S. Intelligence Chief; Avril Haines tells House committee that Russia will be hard-pressed to control territory and install a pro-Moscow regime. - WSJ 3.8.22

Russia facing setbacks in Ukraine, U.S. intelligence officials say; CIA director says Russian President Putin’s assumptions about Ukraine before the invasion turned out to be ‘profoundly flawed’. - Al Jazeera 3.8.22

Putin May Use Chechen War Playbook In Ukraine, Says Russian Human Rights Activist - RFE/RL 3.6.22

More than 2M have fled Ukraine — even as Russia 'bombs safe routes' - NY Post 3.8.22

Hand-to-hand combat breaks out on streets of Kyiv suburb - NY Post 3.8.22

Ukrainians flee cities under fire - Reuters 3.8.22

U.S. puts world on notice about Putin's combat power as Russia's bloody grip on Ukraine intensifies - Fox 3.8.22

Russian ship that fired on 'go f--k yourself' Ukrainians destroyed in battle: report - NY Post 3.8.22

Ukraine refugees will face bitterly cold temperatures in Eastern Europe this week - NY Post 3.8.22

Little progress in new peace talks - as Russia unleashes ‘medieval siege warfare’ - NY Post 3.7.22

White House, DoD lower expectations of Polish warplanes for Ukraine - Defense Week 3.7.22

Putin has deployed nearly 100% of pre-staged forces into Ukraine - U.S. official - Reuters 3.7.22

Intel alliance asks Interpol to suspend Russia as Kyiv wants Moscow isolated - UPI 3.7.22

Judo Federation strips Putin and Kremlin-supporting elite of titles - UPI 3.7.22

Russia Pummels Ukraine Civilian Targets, Preventing Escape; Cease-fire talks make little headway; Ukrainian forces hold fast along several fronts. - WSJ 3.7.22

World Bank sending $725M emergency package to Ukraine - Fox 3.7.22

War in Ukraine: World Bank approves $723m financial package - BBC 3.7.22

Americans back Russia oil ban, going to war if NATO ally attacked - NY Post 3.7.22

Russia tells Ukrainians war can end if they give up 3 key regions - NY Post 3.7.22

The curious case of Russia’s missing air force; Experts had expected the invaders to use their planes to pick off Ukraine’s forces at will - Economist 3.8.22

Fighting in Ukraine Forces Two Million to Flee as Russia Presses Offensive Deepening humanitarian crisis prompts U.S. to ban imports of Russian oil - WSJ 3.8.22

[PDF] Text of Budapest Agreement from 1994, where Russia promised to respect Ukrainian territory in return for Ukraine giving up one of the world's biggest nuclear arsenals ...

Russian Oil, Gas, Energy

Biden announces ban on U.S. imports of Russian oil, warns gas prices will 'go up further'; Biden said the ban has strong bipartisan support in Congress and the country. - Fox 3.8.22

EU announces plan to slash Russian gas imports this year; The European Commission has announced a plan to reduce gas imports from Russia by two-thirds this year. - Al Jazeera 3.8.22

Shell, BP to Withdraw From Russian Oil, Gas - WSJ 3.8.22

U.S. Bans Imports of Russian Oil, Natural Gas; The move could further boost gasoline prices as the Biden administration responds to the Ukraine invasion - WSJ 3.8.22

Biden bans Russia oil imports to U.S., warns U.S. gasoline prices will rise further - Reuters 3.8.22

Oil surges as U.S. bans Russian crude, Britain launches phase out - Reuters 3.8.22

Russian Economy, Business, Trade

Russia Set to Ban Commodity Exports - WSJ 3.8.22

McDonald's, icon of post-Soviet Russia, to close all restaurants in Russia - Reuters 3.8.22

Coca-Cola Announces Suspension of Operations in Russia - Bloomberg 3.8.22

Coca-Cola, PepsiCo Pull Back From Russia as Ukraine Crisis Deepens; McDonald’s also said it was temporarily closing its roughly 850 restaurants in the region - WSJ 3.8.22

United States, Europe & Russia

Voice of America freelancer's arrest on suspicion of being Russian spy causes international ripples - Fox 3.8.22

Poland Ready To Hand Over All MiG-29 Warplanes To U.S. In Germany - RFE/RL 3.8.22

War in Ukraine: West hits Russia with oil bans and gas curbs - BBC 3.8.22

EU announces plan to slash Russian gas imports this year; The European Commission has announced a plan to reduce gas imports from Russia by two-thirds this year. - Al Jazeera 3.8.22

McDonald's, icon of post-Soviet Russia, to close all restaurants in Russia

Shell, BP to Withdraw From Russian Oil, Gas - WSJ 3.8.22

Biden announces ban on U.S. imports of Russian oil, warns gas prices will 'go up further'; Biden said the ban has strong bipartisan support in Congress and the country. - Fox 3.8.22

U.S. Bans Imports of Russian Oil, Natural Gas; The move could further boost gasoline prices as the Biden administration responds to the Ukraine invasion - WSJ 3.8.22

White House, DoD lower expectations of Polish warplanes for Ukraine - Defense Week 3.7.22

Coca-Cola Announces Suspension of Operations in Russia - Bloomberg 3.8.22

Coca-Cola, PepsiCo Pull Back From Russia as Ukraine Crisis Deepens; McDonald’s also said it was temporarily closing its roughly 850 restaurants in the region - WSJ 3.8.22

China & Russia

U.S. nuclear forces chief ‘very concerned’ by Russia-China cooperation - Defense News 3.8.22

Russia looks to Chinese financial plumbing to keep money flowing; It isn’t connected to the world well enough to help much - Economist 3.8.22

Nuclear

U.S. nuclear forces chief ‘very concerned’ by Russia-China cooperation - Defense News 3.8.22

Ukraine Had One of the World's Biggest Nuclear Arsenals and Gave It Up Voluntarily in Exchange for the Promise that Their Territory Would Not Be Violated; Russia Signed the Treaty - SCW 3.1.22

[PDF] Text of Budapest Agreement from 1994, where Russia promised to respect Ukrainian territory in return for Ukraine giving up one of the world's biggest nuclear arsenals ...

Russian Media

Vladimir Putin has brutally muzzled Russian media; But word of what is really happening in Ukraine is getting through - Economist 3.8.22

Cybersecurity & Russia

Russian Ministries, Agencies Hacked In Apparent Anti-War Protest - RFE/RL 3.8.22

Russian Politics & Government

Navalny Urges Russians To Continue Anti-War Protests That 'Unnerve' Kremlin - RFE/RL 3.8.22

Russian Ministries, Agencies Hacked In Apparent Anti-War Protest - RFE/RL 3.8.22

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Key Words: Russia, Russian Police, Russian Torture, Russian Prisoners, Russian Protests, Russian Protesters, Russian Human Rights Violations, Russo-Ukrainian War, Ukraine

Kremlin and Red Square at Night